ASAP Warns NASA: A Full Plate Without Realistic Expectations And Schedules = Future Problems
Keith’s note: According to this press release NASA’s Aerospace Safety Advisory Panel Releases 2023 Annual Report. According to the ASAP Report: “The current budget environment has significant implications for mission and safety risk. NASA has a very full mission plate. To the extent that their budget request is not fully funded, the leadership will need to acknowledge and make critical decisions with respect to program content or schedules, which will need to be adjusted to meet fiscal realities. Attempting to do all planned efforts on expected timelines will introduce unacceptable and unmanaged risk. The Agency will need to rely on its developed strategic vision, objectives, and architecture to establish well-defined priorities to ground its endeavors in reality – taking fully into account the risk-benefit tradeoffs. It is equally critical that the Agency be transparent about these realities and choices with its stakeholder and workforce. Stakeholders must come to understand and respect realistic expectations and schedules, and the Agency cannot bow to external pressure to exceed rational anticipations. The workforce must be confident that NASA leadership’s expectations are reasonable and authentic. The Agency is blessed with a workforce that has traditionally given one hundred percent to achieving difficult goals. If those talented and dedicated personnel are cognizant that they are embarked on a journey that is not just challenging and risky, but not realistically achievable, there will be both a serious erosion of morale and an undermining of the essential safety culture. On the assumption that NASA will make the tough choices to execute safely and effectively within budgeted resources, an even greater challenge resides in the budget uncertainty resulting from Congress’ consistent inability to provide timely and definitive appropriations. The ambiguity within which NASA must plan and execute its mission is deeply troublesome. It causes distraction from the focus on the “real work,” including safety, adds untold hours and days of unproductive labor, and (perhaps most important) hampers the ability to make timely decisions that ultimately impact safety and mission assurance. Given that it is unlikely that Congress will provide appropriate and timely budget clarity, NASA will be compelled to deal with this ambiguity. NASA should be candid and clear about – and Congress and other stakeholders should open their eyes to – the consequences of dealing with budget uncertainty.”
2 responses to “ASAP Warns NASA: A Full Plate Without Realistic Expectations And Schedules = Future Problems”
Leave a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.
We haven’t seen realistic schedules or expectations literally in decades. Orion, the safe, simple, soon solition, was going to fly more than a decade ago. SLS using leftover Shuttle hardware wherever the hardware had any sophistication, has taken far too long. Unrealistic schedules are the expectation when it comes to StarShip and new suits. Does amyone believe Artemis 3 could be ready in 3-5 years? Artemis 2, which is a reflight of Artemis 1 using Artemis 1 hardware, is now 2 years away. It slipped a year, when it was supposedly less than a year from flight. The entire Artemis mission design has serious safety issues if tje crew must rely on Orion to retirn. Because of prohibitive propulsion, Orion cannot get close to the Moon. It is not an Apollo. Starship will have to be flown so mamy more times with so much greater frequency, to altitides running the gamut from Earth to deep space to low lunar orbit to lunar surface, so if/when they get StarShip in its multiple variants fully functioning it should be far safer. Its size will provide a far more habitable environment and.its performance should enable backup capacity.
Thanks to exactly these problems, as this latest report points out, we have no confidence in NASA leadership.